TCFD Physical Risk Engine
IFRS S2TCFDNASA · NOAA🇬🇩 GrenadaLive climate data · Physical risk stress-testing · Climate-Adjusted Financial Statement · 20-year Debt Sustainability
+6.4%
Debt Impact
-2.3%
GDP Loss (20yr)
Medium
Flood Risk
+12%
Cyclone Intensity
0.5m
Sea-Level Rise
NASA/NOAA Live Climate Data — SIDS Region2025 Observed
National Debt / GDP — 20-Year Projection
- Baseline
- 1.5°C
- 2.0°C
- >3°C
Physical Risk Assessment by Scenario
Coastal Flooding% area at risk
Current
35
1.5°C
48
2.0°C
62
>3°C
84
Cyclone Damage% GDP annual avg
Current
2.1
1.5°C
2.3
2.0°C
2.6
>3°C
3.1
Sea-Level Risemetres by 2050
Current
0
1.5°C
0.3
2.0°C
0.5
>3°C
0.9
Drought Frequencyevents per decade
Current
1.2
1.5°C
1.6
2.0°C
2.1
>3°C
3.4
Coral Bleaching% reef area affected
Current
28
1.5°C
55
2.0°C
78
>3°C
97
Climate-Adjusted Financial Statement — Member State FY2025–2044IFRS S2 · XBRL-Tagged
| Financial Indicator | Baseline | 1.5°C | 2.0°C | >3°C |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP (Baseline) | USD 2.84B | USD 2.82B | USD 2.78B | USD 2.64B |
| National Debt / GDP | 72.1% | 74.2% | 78.5% | 90.8% |
| Tourism Revenue | USD 420M | USD 408M | USD 381M | USD 294M |
| Agriculture Output | USD 184M | USD 178M | USD 162M | USD 119M |
| Infrastructure Repair Cost | USD 12M/yr | USD 18M/yr | USD 31M/yr | USD 68M/yr |
| Climate Adaptation Spend Needed | USD 28M/yr | USD 36M/yr | USD 52M/yr | USD 94M/yr |
| Sovereign Credit Rating Impact | BB+ | BB+ | BB | B+ |