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NDC/NAP Alignment Tracker

Theory of Change

SVG NDC 2021 · World Bank Common Approach (2024) · BEA-2026-005

7/7
NDC Targets Addressed
SVG NDC 2021
28%
Average Alignment
Across all targets
3
Maladaptation Risks
Identified & mitigated
5/5
ToC Stages
Inputs → Impact

SVG NDC 2021 — Alignment Assessment

The SVG Nationally Determined Contribution (2021) commits to a 22% emissions reduction by 2025 (conditional) and a comprehensive adaptation programme across coastal, food, water, and DRR sectors. BEA-2026-005 contributes to 7 of 7 assessed NDC targets with an average alignment of 28%.

Adaptation4 targets

NDC-A1
Protect 30% of marine and coastal ecosystems by 2030
Coastal & Marine
22%
Project Contribution
Marine Protected Area (5,000 ha) — BEA-2026-005 Component 2
Evidence
5,000 ha MPA = ~22% of SVG's 22,500 ha EEZ coastal zone
NDC-A2
Increase climate-resilient food production by 25% by 2030
Food Security
15%
NDC-A3
Improve water security for 80% of population by 2030
Water Resources
5%
NDC-A4
Establish early warning systems for all climate hazards by 2025
Disaster Risk Reduction
18%

Mitigation2 targets

NDC-M1
22% renewable energy by 2025 (conditional on international support)
Energy
3%
NDC-M2
Maintain and enhance carbon sinks — mangrove and seagrass protection
LULUCF / Blue Carbon
35%

Cross-cutting1 target

NDC-G1
Ensure 40% female participation in all climate programmes by 2030
Gender & Social Inclusion
100%

NDC Alignment Tracker v1.0 · SVG NDC 2021 · World Bank Common Approach 2024 · GCF PMF